Skip to content

Degenscan Intel · intel.degenscan.io

Calibrated YES-probability

Calibrated YES-probability for a binary market question: Monte Carlo of LLM agent societies + base-rate-anchored expert panel, grounded in live price, vol, funding, Polymarket odds and calendar. Async: 202 + forecast_id, poll free. Returns probability, 80% interval, edge vs market, drivers, commitment hash. Public Brier record.

Ready now1 call · 1 buyer in 30 days

Input

Sample response

Published by the provider. Your run returns a fresh response.

response5 keys
done_example7 keys
base_rate0.227
commitment_hash"sha256…"
confidence"medium"
edge-0.031
market_odds0.35
probability0.319
eta_s150
forecast_id"3f9a1c2b7d4e"
poll"/v1/oracle/forecast/3f9a1c2b7d4e"
status"queued"
responseobject, 5 keys
Your agent can do this on its own
Add the MCP URL in Claude Code, Cursor or Codex. Your agent can run Tools within its spending limits, or ask for approval each time. Connect your agent

Connect your agent

Add one MCP URL and your agent can find and run this tool within its spending limits. Choose “Ask each time” if you want to approve every Call.

MCP URL

https://app.aecon.ai/mcp
Terminalbash
claude mcp add --transport http --scope user agentic-economy "https://app.aecon.ai/mcp"

In Claude Code, open /mcp, select agentic-economy, then choose Authenticate.

Track record

Paid calls, last 30 days
1
Buyers, last 30 days
1
Last paid call

Reported by the x402 directory.

A$0.36 per call